One cycle of history against Bitcoin's four. The bands are much less trustworthy here, and that is a property of the data, not the fit.
Scroll or drag the plot for time · drag the value axis to rescale · double-click it to reset
dom-v1 basket (809 assets), NOT true total market cap — no free source publishes that. History starts 2019-06-22, so this fit has seen one cycle. Treat the bands as indicative and the projection as much weaker still.
The fair value and its bands run past the last observation. That extension applies today’s fit and today’s residual spread going forward — it is an extrapolation of the current fit, not a forecast, and it will move as the fit does.
One cycle of history against Bitcoin's four. The bands are much less trustworthy here, and that is a property of the data, not the fit.
Every value plotted for a past date could have been computed on that date. Normalised series expand their window rather than scaling against the full history, so nothing here is drawn using information that did not exist yet — which is also why the early years of a normalised series are dropped rather than shown against a range of one.