Cryptolean
// Pricing

Four plans. One price list.

The incumbent sells seven purchasable things across three surfaces that disagree with each other, including a plan marked out of stock and a cart that redirects to itself. This page is the only place our prices exist.

Nothing is purchasable yet.  While the site is in open build, every page is readable free. These are the prices that will apply when accounts arrive, published now so they cannot quietly change. Items marked in build do not exist yet.
Annual is two months free. No strikethrough, no introductory rate that expires.
Free
$0
no account needed

Enough to check the method before trusting it.

  • Live Bitcoin risk gauge, dated and versioned
  • ~25 charts across risk and valuation
  • The crypto-event odds board
  • Resolution-risk score on any single market
  • Every methodology page, including the studies that failed

Permanent, not a trial. There is no trial of the paid tiers because this is it.

Pro
$99
per month · $990 a year

What the markets imply, next to what the model says.

  • Macro zone — rates, liquidity, cross-asset
  • Odds hub and the event-risk calendar — in build
  • Implied-versus-realised calibration scorecard — in build
  • Options priced against betting probabilities — in build
  • Workbench — build and save your own views — in build

Priced below the $109 it was going to be, because it lost its flagship. See below.

Data
from $2,000
per month · talk to us

Zone 11 as an API.

  • Resolution-trust scores across 132,154 markets
  • Oracle governance — who settles disputes, with what stake
  • The dispute feed, as it happens — in build
  • Settlement latency by venue and category

A range rather than a price. We have never sold this and the first three conversations will value it better than a number invented today. The floor is real: below $2,000 it is not worth the support.

// Why Pro costs less than planned

A price list is the first place a failed study should show up.

This ladder used to carry a fifth tier — Signal, $2,000 to $10,000 a month — selling a volatility forecast built on prediction-market repricing as a feed to funds. Pro’s headline was the same forecast.

We replicated the paper it rested on, on our own data. It did not hold: t = −0.16 against the paper’s 3.63, and out of sample the signal made the forecast worse. So the node is not being built, the Signal tier is deleted, and Pro is $99 rather than the $109 it was going to be — because it is now a views tier that shows what markets imply, not a signals tier that tells you what happens next.

Charging the original price for the same page with the best thing removed would have been the easy move, and nobody outside would have known.

t = −0.16  ·  313 days  ·  p = 0.88  ·  out-of-sample MSFE ratio 1.039  ·  66 regressions, all reported
// Not doing

Three things we are not selling.

No strikethrough prices

The incumbent shows Standard “from $59” and Pro “from $139”. A discount against a number nobody ever paid is a dark pattern, and not doing it is part of what we are competing on. $39 and $99 are the prices. Annual is two months free and nothing else.

No lifetime plan

A perpetual licence on a product with a recurring data cost is a loan against a future you then have to keep servicing. The incumbent sells one. We would rather be here in five years.

No separate crypto price

A fourth price for the same thing is how a ladder stops agreeing with itself. One price list, one set of numbers, whatever you pay with.

// Before you pay

Nothing here is investment advice.

Cryptolean is research. It never custodies funds, never matches users, and never takes paid placement from a venue. Every series is daily close and lags the market by hours. Historical values use expanding-window normalisation, so nothing plotted for a past date was drawn with information that did not exist yet — which is the whole product, and the reason the free tier is permanent rather than a trial.