Current run 1 up · longest ever 11 up, 8 down · 1,084 runs in 2,137 days
Scroll or drag to move the time axis · hold shift for the value axis · drag either slider
cycle-v3 · Complete runs, each counted once, on daily closes. The distribution is close to what independent coin flips would produce, which is the useful finding: a six-day losing streak feels like information and the record says it is roughly what chance delivers. Runs longer than 12 are omitted from the bars and are rare enough to count individually.
Current run 1 up · longest ever 11 up, 8 down · 1,084 runs in 2,137 days
Every value plotted for a past date could have been computed on that date. Normalised series expand their window rather than scaling against the full history, so nothing here is drawn using information that did not exist yet — which is also why the early years of a normalised series are dropped rather than shown against a range of one.
This asset has a short record. The chart still builds, because hiding it would leave you wondering why your coin is missing — but a long-horizon fit on a short history is noise wearing a trend’s clothes.