Cryptolean

Bitcoin — Return After Each Halving

2012: 48.34× · 2016: 14.81× · 2020: 7.88× · 2024: 1.00×

As of 5 Aug 2026Points 5,041Daily close · not real-time

Scroll or drag to move the time axis · hold shift for the value axis · drag either slider

Description

Each cycle has returned less than the one before it — that compression is the thesis, not an artefact. Four halvings is four data points. Every chart here assumes cycles continue in roughly the shape they have so far. Nothing in the data can tell you when that stops being true.

How to read it

2012: 48.34× · 2016: 14.81× · 2020: 7.88× · 2024: 1.00×

Every value plotted for a past date could have been computed on that date. Normalised series expand their window rather than scaling against the full history, so nothing here is drawn using information that did not exist yet — which is also why the early years of a normalised series are dropped rather than shown against a range of one.

Metric version
None — built from price alone
Export format
web-v4
Computed
5 Aug 2026
Shape
timeseries
Category
ROI & cycle comparison
Data sources
Daily close. Free public endpoints, cached before processing; nothing here is real-time.